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Annualised Rate

A part-year change scaled to the rate it would give over a full year — a presentation convention, not a forecast of the pace.

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An annualised rate expresses a change measured over part of a year as the rate it would produce if it continued for a full year. A quarterly output figure reported at an annual rate compounds the quarter's growth four times; a monthly figure annualised compounds it twelve. It is a presentation choice, not a forecast that the pace will persist. The convention differs by country, and comparing across them without checking is a common error: quarterly output is customarily reported at an annualised rate in some statistical systems and as the plain quarter-on-quarter change in others, so the same underlying growth appears as a much larger number in one and a smaller one in the other. Annualising also magnifies noise, since whatever distorted the short period is compounded along with the signal. The release documentation states which convention the headline uses.

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Guide

What an Exchange Rate Regime Changes About a Pair

Whether a currency floats, is steered, sits in a band or is administered outright is a published policy fact — and it decides more about how the pair behaves on your screen than anything on the chart.

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